October 22, 2021

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The Education Specialists

Odds to Qualify for College Football Playoff Heavily Favor Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State, and Oklahoma; Any Value on a Longshot?

JT Daniels throwing a pass

Georgia quarterback JT Daniels (18) warms up before during the annual college football spring game Saturday, April 17, 2021, in Athens, Ga.. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

  • Odds to make the four-team CFP in 2022 have been released
  • Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State, and Oklahoma are heavily favored
  • See the make/miss odds along with betting advice in the story below

College Football season is nearing and 2022 four-team CFP odds have been released ahead of kickoff on August 28th. Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State, and Oklahoma are heavily favored to make the College Football Playoff this year.

Both the  Tide and Clemson suffered major offseason losses, which opens the door for a longshot. Georgia, Iowa State, and USC are among the intriguing underdogs available to wager on.

The table below shows the make/miss CFP odds for all the teams on the board at DraftKings.

Odds to Make 2022 College Football Playoff

Team Yes No
Clemson -700 +425
Alabama -370 +260
Ohio State -225 +175
Oklahoma -210 +165
Georgia +170 -220
Texas A&M +475 -800
Iowa State +500 -800
Oregon +650 -1200
Notre Dame +700 -1400
Wisconsin +800 -1600
Texas +900 -2000
USC +1000 -2500
Washington +1000 -2500
LSU +1100 -3000
North Carolina +1100 -3000
Florida +1200 -3000
Miami +1200 -3000
Penn State +1200 -4000
Cincinnati +1400 -4000
Iowa +1400 -4000
Arizona State +1800 -6000
Oklahoma State +2000 -8000
Utah +2200 -10000
Auburn +2500 -10000
Ole Miss +2500 -10000
TCU +3000 -10000
UCF +4000 -20000
Boise State +5000 -50000
Coastal Carolina +5000 -50000

Odds as of Aug. 5 at DraftKings.

Bulldogs Are Loaded 

If Georgia is going to make another run at a National Title, this would be the year to do it. The Bulldogs are loaded at every position entering the 2022 season and offer great value to qualify for the four-team CFP. JT Daniels returns to quarterback a dynamic offense, while the defense adds Clemson transfer Derion Kendrick to an already start-studded unit.

Not only is this Georgia’s most talented team in years, but the Bulldogs can take advantage of a down year for the SEC. Alabama has lost a plethora of talent from their 2021 championship team, while Florida is rebuilding with the loss of Kyle Trask and Kyle Pitts. Aside from their opener against Clemson, Georgia should be favored in every game. This is the year to bet on Kirby Smart’s squad returning to the CFP.

Pick: Georgia to Make CFP (+170)

2021 Heisman Trophy Odds Tracker

Buckeyes Will Dominate Big Ten

Until proven otherwise, Ohio State owns the Big Ten conference. The Buckeyes have qualified for the four-team playoff in consecutive seasons. Ohio State is loaded on both side of the ball, returning six starters on offense and five on defense. The Buckeyes possess the best 1-2 receiver punch in the nation with Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson.

The big question mark surrounding Ohio State is at quarterback, as starter Justin Fields has departed to the NFL. CJ Stroud, Jack Miller, and Kyle McCord are all talented pivots competing for the role. Once one of them takes the field and starts clicking with this offense, the value on the Buckeyes will disappear. No team has emerged as a legit threat to Ohio State in the Big Ten, which makes them a great bet to make the CFP.

Pick: Ohio State to Make CFP (-225)

Longshots to Consider 

Betting on longshots to make the CFP will be more fun once the playoffs expands, but for now, it’s best to tread lightly. No Group of Five school has ever made the four-team playoff, and the Pac-12 has failed to produce a CFP team in four straight years. Alabama or Clemson could take a step back in 2022 after major offseason turnover, however, which would open the door for a longshot.

Iowa State at +500 is worth considering as they return a whopping 19 starters from a team that went 9-3 in 2020. Coach Matt Campbell has the Cyclones heading in a great direction, and they should challenge Oklahoma for the Big 12 crown.  Breece Hall is one of the best running backs in the country and returns alongside QB Brock Purdy.

USC at +1000 is also tempting given the return of Heisman contender Kedon Slovis, but it’s hard to bet on a Pac-12 school given their playoff drought. You’re better off looking at the Conference Title odds, where Clay Helton’s squad offers value to compete with Oregon for the Pac-12 crown.

Brady Trettenero

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